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Statement of James R. Clapper (Director of National Intelligence) for the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on 31st January 2012.
The main content of the statement is to develop the new strategy and built the understanding between the security departments of USA, he also discuss the current and future threats to their country. He gave the statement to cater the following issues, it also gets our attention because of the different issues related with Pakistan are also highlighted in this statement:
Highlights of the statement:
Terrorism :
The next two to three years will be a critical transition phase for the terrorist threat facing the United States, particularly from al-Qa‟ida and like-minded groups, which we often refer to as the
“global jihadist movement.” During this transition, we expect leadership of the movement to become more decentralized, with “core” al-Qa‟ida—the Pakistan-based group formerly led by Usama bin
Ladin—diminishing in operational importance;….
· The CBRN Threat (Chemical Biological Radiological & Nuclear)
· Core Al Qaida In Decline
· Leadership of Global Jihad
· AQIM
· Al-Shabab
· TTP :
Other militant and terrorist networks will continue to threaten US interests outside their primary operating areas. However, we judge that most lack either the capability or intent to plan, train for, and execute sophisticated attacks in the United States. Tehrik-e Taleban Pakistan (TTP), for example, is likely to remain heavily engaged against the Pakistani military and Coalition forces in Afghanistan, while providing some support to the Afghan insurgency.
· The Threat from Homegrown Violent Extremism
· Threat From Iran
Proliferation
· WMD Threats form Iran and North Korea
· Terrorist Group active to get WMDs
Cyber Threat
· Evolving and Strategic Concerns
· Major Trends
· Outlook
Counterintelligence
· Cyber Enabled Espionages
· Insider Threat
· Espionage by China, Russia & Iran
Global Challenges
· South Asia: ….Enduring stability also depends heavily but not exclusively
on neighboring states, especially Pakistan. ….
Pakistan
We judge al-Qa‟ida operatives are balancing support for attacks in Pakistan with guidance to refocus the global jihad externally, against US targets. Al-Qa‟ida also will increasingly rely on ideological and operational alliances with Pakistani militant factions to accomplish its goals within
Pakistan and to conduct transnational attacks. Pakistani military leaders have had limited success 11 against al-Qa‟ida operatives, other foreign fighters, and Pakistani militants who pose a threat to Islamabad.
Meanwhile, the country‟s economic recovery is at risk. In an effort to keep its coalition in power to the end of the five-year parliamentary term, the government has been unwilling to persuade its disparate coalition members to accept much needed but unpopular policy and tax reforms. Sustained remittances from overseas Pakistanis (on the order of $10-12 billion a year) have kept reserves high, as have borrowed resources from the IMF. However, the economy last fiscal year expanded at a slower rate of about 2 percent, partly because of flood damages; both foreign direct investment and domestic investment are declining; and Pakistan‟s investment-to-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio declined for the third year in a row to 13.4 percent at the beginning of the fiscal year in July
2011.
India
Relations with Pakistan
After a four-year pause, India and Pakistan revived expert-level discussions on conventional and nuclear confidence-building measures (CBM), when they met in Islamabad December 26-27, 2011. Following the meetings, a joint statement noted that both sides reviewed the implementation and strengthening of existing CBMs in the framework of the Lahore MoU, and agreed to explore possibilities for additional, mutually acceptable CBMs. India-Pakistan relations also improved in
2011 after both sides in February agreed to resume the bilateral dialogue, suspended since the November 2008 terrorist attack in Mumbai.
The two countries‟ home secretaries in March charted a work program to improve cooperation,
including commitments to establish a hotline, streamline visa procedures, and meet on a biannual
basis. Both sides also began to negotiate procedures to review each other‟s investigations into
the Mumbai attack. The two countries are making progress in these areas.
Prime Minister Singh and Prime Minister Gilani had cordial meetings during the April international cricket championships and the November South Asia Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC) meeting.
Progress expanding trade ties has also helped improve relations, and Islamabad in November publicly committed to a proposal for granting most favored nation trade status to India.
Less progress has been made in discussions over the difficult border issues of Siachen Glacier and Sir Creek, and we judge New Delhi will maintain a go-slow approach in these negotiations.
· East Asia
· Middle East and North Africa
· Africa
· Russia and Eurasia
· Europe
· Latin America and the Carrabin
Significant State and Non state Intelligence Threats
· Transnational Organized Crimes
· Space
Economics
· None Economic Shocks and Unresolved Financial Strains
· Energy
· Water Security
· Health Threats and Natural Disasters
Conclusion
The issues that we consider here confront responsible citizens and their governments everywhere. The Intelligence Community is fully committed to arming our decision makers—policymakers, war fighters, and law enforcement officers—with the best intelligence and analytic insight we can provide. This is necessary to enable them to take the actions and make the decisions that will protect American lives and American interests, here and around the world.
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